Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.033976 0.037180 0.040427 0.043956 0.047679 0.051482 0.055656
2025-09-07 0.029509 0.034270 0.039272 0.044894 0.051010 0.057439 0.064685
2025-09-14 0.025901 0.031758 0.038113 0.045463 0.053670 0.062499 0.072662
2025-09-21 0.022810 0.029436 0.036843 0.045631 0.055669 0.066683 0.079584
2025-09-28 0.020966 0.028303 0.036719 0.046921 0.058795 0.072029 0.087749
2025-10-05 0.018401 0.026067 0.035104 0.046305 0.059586 0.074622 0.092722
2025-10-12 0.016568 0.024545 0.034185 0.046371 0.061058 0.077908 0.098425
2025-10-19 0.015249 0.023540 0.033789 0.046972 0.063089 0.081792 0.104784
2025-10-26 0.014266 0.022878 0.033744 0.047942 0.065515 0.086112 0.111642
2025-11-02 0.012246 0.020682 0.031624 0.046216 0.064569 0.086352 0.113632
2025-11-09 0.010989 0.019422 0.030623 0.045820 0.065190 0.088416 0.117747
2025-11-16 0.009846 0.018230 0.029635 0.045373 0.065690 0.090293 0.121608
2025-11-23 0.009402 0.018039 0.030002 0.046718 0.068502 0.095068 0.129074
2025-11-30 0.008848 0.017641 0.030060 0.047643 0.070780 0.099203 0.135797
2025-12-07 0.008225 0.017090 0.029868 0.048210 0.072588 0.102757 0.141825
2025-12-14 0.007533 0.016376 0.029402 0.048373 0.073850 0.105621 0.147010
2025-12-21 0.007239 0.016273 0.029800 0.049707 0.076640 0.110410 0.154589
2025-12-28 0.006427 0.015249 0.028799 0.049064 0.076797 0.111856 0.158013
2026-01-04 0.005872 0.014610 0.028329 0.049132 0.077872 0.114452 0.162864
2026-01-11 0.005500 0.014256 0.028266 0.049755 0.079679 0.117978 0.168882
2026-01-18 0.005243 0.014090 0.028476 0.050761 0.081999 0.122170 0.175751
2026-01-25 0.004399 0.012749 0.026789 0.048970 0.080477 0.121368 0.176289
2026-02-01 0.003918 0.012047 0.026072 0.048559 0.080813 0.122956 0.179844